Live (Work, or Play) in Downtown Austin?  Join DANA (Downtown Austin Neighborhood Association)

Live (Work, or Play) in Downtown Austin? Join DANA (Downtown Austin Neighborhood Association)

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Jude and I are both on the board of the Downtown Austin Neighborhood Association (DANA) – a grassroots community organization dedicated to improving the lives of those who live, work, and / or play in the Downtown Austin Community. It’s an organization that we believe in, and an organization that is affecting positive change in our community.

For our readers who are downtown residents (or, who spend a significant amount of time downtown for work or for pleasure), I urge you to become a member of the organization.

A little info: [Read more...]

Downtown Austin Condo Prices On The Rise in December

Downtown Austin Condo Prices On The Rise in December

downtown austin condo stats december 2010

1) Price Per Foot, and 2) Number of Transactions (monthly, Jan-Dec 2010)

The downtown Austin loft & condo market hit many milestones this year: 1) Austonian opened 2) Four Seasons opened 3) W Hotel residences approached completion.  Downtown hosted over $60MM in resale transactions during the year.  Moreover, to the surprise or chagrin of some, buyers are flocking to the top-tier buildings.  We close out 2010 with 38 closed transactions in the month of December – 18 resale, and 20 direct to developer.

The above chart shows downtown austin condo resale trends based on monthly data from 2010.  Direct to developer transactions are not shown on the chart.  The most salient trend we can glean from this data is the average sales price hovering steadily ~$300 per square foot.

Details after the jump… [Read more...]

Tipping Points & Lawsuits

After months of complaints, Enzo night club is being sued by the Monarch apartments.  This is not surprising, but the suit could be unfounded if Enzo has been operating in compliance with existing laws.  According the article, city police and fire officials believe they have been.  Behind the scenes, various advocacy groups are discussing the bigger question: are existing compatibility laws failing a mixed-use downtown?

Outside of the established entertainment districts of E 6th Street and the Warehouse District, there’s unrest brewing between downtown residents and night clubs.  These two groups evolved in the same playground over the past decade.  Now, both seem uncertain about the rules and who’s playing by them.

Can’t we all just get along?

One of my favorite books is Freakonomics – a book that challenges our core economic motivations.  I’m a perfect example of irrationality.  I am a downtown property owner.  I believe that scarcity creates value.  Using purely economic instinct, I should support the anti-height and anti-density sentiment we’re used to seeing from ANC, since the expected result would be less real estate for my properties to compete with.  However, I have qualitative interests that go beyond simple economics.  So, I do support height and density initiatives designed to create more housing in downtown.

In similar fashion, a club owner might want to limit the creation of new bars in downtown Austin in order to preserve their existing fiefdoms.  Why desire more competition, right?  I know many bar owners, but I’ve never once heard them say “there’s too many bars”.  It makes sense, as they don’t want to be blocked from opening future concepts/locations.

There’s also the argument for economies of agglomeration, which helps to explain why destination entertainment districts thrive.

Responding to exogenous forces

Remember when the City of Austin banned smoking inside bars?  If you do, you might recall the uproar from bar owners suggesting that would kill their business.  In the long run, bars adapted.  The response was to take business outdoors to rooftop decks and open air lounges.  This phenomenon paralleled the residential boom in downtown, and created new Outdoor Music Venue challenges for lawmakers (to be discussed in another article).  Look around.  Now, there are more bars than ever in downtown Austin.

Another reason for the surge of bar development: parking.  CBD bars don’t need onsite or adjacent parking.  By requirement of the law and/or lender, onsite parking isn’t as important to a bar’s success than it is for retail and restaurant uses.  So, it’s no surprise we’re see more bars.  They’re simply easier to build, finish out, and operate.  CBD zoning enables this.

Still tippin’

According to the Texas Bar Nightclub Alliance (TBNA) there are more alcohol retailers in downtown Austin’s 78701 zipcode than any other zip code in the United States!

I went to the TABC and pulled all of the permits in 78701, and found approximately 290 permits.

Big whoop, Jude.  What’s your point?

At what point are there so many night clubs that they collectively begin to erode the quality-of-life for residents and visitors of downtown?  I think the answer has to do with compatibility, more than raw numbers.

Have you seen the vision for Congress Ave?  It’s mixed-use. These pics from the holiday stroll should help you visualize it.  Downtown Austin is more than just bar-centric nightlife.  Night clubs outside of the established entertainment districts (E 6th & Warehouse) need to play nice with their neighbors.  And residents need to support the ones that do!

I support the Downtown Austin Plan’s recommendation for conditional use permits for new downtown Austin night clubs outside the entertainment districts.  It’s a softball pitch for stakeholders to foul out the bad players.

Jude, stop being lame.

Meh, get off my proverbial lawn.  Few new night clubs add to our city’s brand and goodwill.  IMO, we’re at the tipping point of problematic “bar creep” outside of the entertainment districts and into areas envisioned for more mixed-use.

Maybe I’m growing up, and through the course of business I see more families in downtown Austin than ever before.  I see, in aggregate, the billions of dollars homeowners have invested in their downtown residences.

Unlike E. 6th Street (aka. “dirty 6th”), W. 6th Street was not a major destination until there were 1,500+ high rise doors and $500,000,000 in residential multi-family/condo property tax base surrounded it.  Rainey Street wasn’t a destination until 1,000+ high rise doors and $250,000,000 in residential multi-family/condo property tax base surrounded it.

Entertainment “districts” are a piece of the Downtown Austin CBD pie.  Not the whole pie.

-Jude

Downtown Austin Condo Prices Drop in November

Downtown Austin Condo Prices Drop in November

downtown austin condo trends nov 2010

downtown austin condo trends nov 2010

Judging by the average numbers, November was a rough month for resales of downtown Austin condos.  Conversely, luxury condos continue to post strong numbers for the second month in a row.  Back in October, I was surprised by the large number of closings we observed in the downtown Austin’s top-tier condo buildings.  The ABJ followed up with a story saying “Verdict’s in: Austin condos did work.”

Top-tier (new buildings)
While the high-end market continues to show good numbers, it’s not clear to me how many of these closings are from original reservations, rather than new purchase contracts (within the past 120 days).

-Four Seasons shows 49 closed units, six closed in November.

-Austonian shows 32 closed units, two closed in November.

-Spring shows ~165-170 closed units closed, nine closed in November.  It should be noted that these were, in fact, all new contracts.

Resales
Using data available on Nov 30th, 11 downtown austin condos closed at an average $252 per square foot.  That’s the lowest average price since August of 2009, and is 19.5% lower than the average resale price compared to November of last year.  Compared to downtown condo sales in October, prices were down 14%.  Also interesting, average days-on-market (DOM) was 118 days – not surprising to see closing prices averaging 12% less than original asking prices.

November Downtown Austin Condo Sales

AddressBuildingBedroomsSquare FeetSold Price
1800 Lavaca St #608Greenwood Towers2857Call
507 Sabine St #305The Sabine21462Call
505 W 7th St #318Posada del Rey21049Call
901 W 9th St #311The Nokonah1849Call
360 Nueces St #1001360 Condos1801Call
555 E 5th St #9235 Fifty Five (555)11195Call
1705 Pearl St31879Call
1801 Lavaca St #14MCambridge Towers2912Call
411 Brazos St #224Brazos Lofts11313Call
800 W 5th St #505Austin City Lofts21482Call
80 Red River St #307Villas on Town Lake1675Call
Data assembled from Austin MLS for November sales of downtown Austin condos
Bremond – A New Downtown Apartment Building Is Proposed

Bremond – A New Downtown Apartment Building Is Proposed

the bremond downtown austin

Bremond site

A new site plan has been submitted to the city by developers Mike McGinnis and Rick Hardin for a new 70 unit downtown Austin apartment building.  Called the “Bremond,” the name is clear a nod to its unique proximity to the Bremond Block Historic District.  The 0.41 acre site, if built, would use the address 807 Nueces St.  The written application calls for 12 stories, four to be used for parking.  There is no retail component, which is not surprising given the area.

The site is currently an asphalt parking lot.

UPDATE 12-6-2010:

Check out the rendering.  Note, none of the buildings along 8th will be razed.  The development will not need any variances or public hearings.

the bremond downtown austin

W Hotel: Looking Good

The pedestrian barricades along Lavaca & 2nd Street are gone, and the W Hotel is looking damn fine.  I love this pic from Photolitherland @ SkyscraperPage.

Above, you can barely make out the strip of LED lights running the span of the building.  When I took the photo they were changing color: green to blue to red, etc.

W Hotel Condos For Sale

HOLY COW: October Residential Transactions

I’m blown away by the number of closings that occurred in October for new luxury condos in downtown Austin.  Total number of downtown Austin condo transactions in October is confirmed at 29 30 closings! Resale data shows eight resale transactions, two of which were over $1MM.  Here’s the kicker: there were a combined 21 closings at the Four Seasons Residences, Spring, and The Austonian!

I spent extra time this month confirming transaction reports at the top-tier buildings.  “Spin” was minimal and there is genuine transaction velocity.

October Highlights:

  1. two $1MM+ resale transactions (not including developer sales at top-tier buildings)
  2. The Austonian shows 30 closed units, nine in October.
  3. The Four Seasons Residences shows 43 closed units, six in October.
  4. Spring Condos closed six seven in October.
  5. DANA’s Downtown Living Tour was the biggest ever with over 1000 attendees.
  6. W Hotel is hiring its staff, and buyers with contracts are anxiously awaiting their Q1 2011 move in date

One not so bright spot in the data: the number of resale transactions is down year-to-year, from 18 in October of 2009 to just eight this past month.  The data below highlights last month’s aggregate sales statistics for MLS Area “DT”.

MLS resale statistics

Investors and economic contrarians, like me, who demand value should continue to be on the prowl for deals on downtown Austin condos by focusing on the resale market.  Especially during the winter months, increased seasonal buying power is evident.  I’m working one short sale deal right now, and I’ve targeted others for my clients.  For example, I’m tracking a 2bd/2ba at Milago that can be purchased for under $299,900 SOLD (inquire with me).

The average resale price remains steady at $294.55 per square foot, compared to $293.65 psf in October 2009.  The chart below shows downtown resale transactions.  Notice the spike in buying activity during the springtime.  Now, notice the subsequent fall off…  that’s a buying opportunity. :-)

-Jude

MLS resale trends

October Downtown Austin Condo Sales

AddressBuildingBedroomsSquare FeetSold Price
54 Rainey St #614Milago Condos21164Call
1801 Lavaca St #10MCambridge Towers1912Call
603 Davis St #909The Shore Condos21286Call
1122 Colorado St #2204Westgate Tower33611Call
603 Davis St #1911The Shore Condos21219Call
54 Rainey St #318Milago Condos21164Call
603 Davis St #1211The Shore Condos21219Call
555 E 5th St #3122Five Fifty 5 (555)34100Call
Austin MLS data collected in October for the downtown Austin market area